中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社11月14日 新加坡报道，正当亚洲主要增长型经济体前景走软之际，石油交易商对创纪录原油供应量的担忧，导致全球原油基准价格自10月初以来，下跌了四分之一。

根据船舶跟踪数据显示，11月份，创纪录的每天超过2200万桶原油涌向亚洲主要市场，自2017年1月以来增长约15%，自今年年初以来增长近5%。

这些石油大部分是之前订购的，因为炼油厂为供应的突然下降做好了准备。

但由于美国政府出人意料地给予了广泛的豁免，总体供应下降并未成为现实。

相反，今年10月，美国、俄罗斯和沙特阿拉伯这三大世界产油国的总产量首次突破3300万桶/日，导致全球石油供应飙升，满足三分之一以上的石油消费总量。

到目前为止，中国和印度这两个亚洲主要新兴经济体，以及日本和韩国这两个成熟市场的需求一直保持健康。

但是，随着金融交易员将资金撤出石油市场，石油供应的不断增加可能导致原油现货合约出现自10月初以来25%的抛售。

分析人士警告称，，随着亚洲各大经济体经济放缓的迹象日益增多，形势可能进一步恶化。

汇丰（HSBC）驻香港的亚洲经济研究联合主管Frederic Neumann表示：“亚洲地区的经济势头似乎仍在放缓，这反映出金融环境收紧和全球贸易放缓的双重影响。

詹晓晶摘自路透社

原文如下：

Asia's weakening economies, record supply threaten to create oil glut

Oil traders’ worries over record supplies arriving in Asia just as the outlook for its key growth economies weakens have pulled down global crude benchmarks by a quarter since early October.

Ship-tracking data shows a record of more than 22 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil hitting Asia’s main markets in November, up around 15 percent since January 2017, and an increase of nearly 5 percent since the start of this year.

Much of this oil was ordered ahead of U.S. sanctions against Iran that were imposed this month, as refiners prepared for a sudden drop in supply.

But with unexpectedly broad exemptions granted by Washington that allow Asia’s main oil consumers to continue buying crude, the overall supply drop has not materialized.

Global supply has instead surged, led by soaring output from the world’s three-biggest producers - the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia - who in October broke through joint output of 33 million bpd for the first time, meeting more than a third of total oil consumption.

That surge has so far been met by healthy demand, not only in Asia’s main emerging economies of China and India, but also in the mature markets of Japan and South Korea.

Now, though, the rising supplies are threatening to turn into a glut, triggering a 25 percent sell-off in spot crude contracts LCOc1 CLc1 since early October as financial traders pulled money out of oil markets.

Analysts warn the situation may get worse, with increasing signs of a slowdown across Asia’s biggest economies.

“Momentum still appears to be slowing across the region, reflecting a combination of tighter financial conditions and slowing global trade,” said Frederic Neumann, co-head of economic research for Asia at HSBC in Hong Kong.