张欣正在下注数亿美元来赌有关中国房产将崩盘的警告是错误的。这位曾在血汗工厂打过工的亿万富翁多次证明她的判断是正确的。
张欣登上彭博市场杂志封面 张欣从她位于SOHO中国有限公司总部第11层办公室俯瞰北京不断扩展的天际线，其中的许多摩天大楼就是她的作品。她的建筑物很“前卫”，一些像筷子，有的像梯田，这些建筑物是2010年房地产市场上销售最火爆的产品。 彭博市场杂志9月期报道，她很清楚投资者和经济学家有关中国房地产繁荣局面将消失的警告，这将使全球经济一起完蛋。这种未日说并没有吓住张欣，这位一度身无分文的血汗工厂雇员曾克服重重困难济身华尔街。她今年已在北京和上海的新建筑项目投入了数亿美元。她想证明怀疑论者又错了一次。 张欣说：“我看不到泡沫，接下来的几个月将是买进的大好时机。” 44岁的张欣见证了中国从改革开放前到成为世界第三大经济体的爆炸性增长。她获得了剑桥大学经济硕士学位，在香港和纽约为高盛投资集团工作期间发展了人脉。她30岁时和她的丈夫潘石屹联合创办了SOHO中国，SOHO中国在经过十年的发展，2005年成为北京最大的房地产开发商和投资者的最爱。 soho中国股票 至8月3日，天剑狂刀网页游戏公益服，soho中国股票价格在香港股市上涨了17%，而彭博亚太地产指数同期却下跌了6.1%。胡润称，张欣拥有的SOHO中国股票的价值约达22亿美元，这使她成为和美国脱口秀女王奥普拉-温弗瑞一样白手起家的世界最富有的女人。 独立经济学家谢国忠称，张欣正面临一个将要崩溃的房地产市场。在中国政府去年向经济注入5850美元刺激性资金后，经济学家们开始预测房产泡沫。国家控制的银行2009年借出了创记录的1.4万亿美元。 可透视的建筑物 总部设在伦敦的莱坊房地产经纪公司称，中国政府的刺激经济措施使中国房地产价格在今年的第一季度比去年同期猛增了68%，这使中国超越香港成为世界上房产增值最快的市场。北京的天际线和房价一样迅猛增涨，留下了许多没有入往的可透视建筑物。仲量联行称，在中央商务区，37.5%的办公间在第二季度空置。谢国忠称：“这是一个严重的泡沫，警报已响起。” 哈佛大学教授、《这次不同》一书的共同作者肯尼思-罗格夫已看到了中国房产市场出现动荡的迹象。他说：“房地产价格已开始崩溃。”巴克莱银行和渣打集团有限公司的分析师则预计，与四月中旬相比，中国大城市的房产价格将在下半年出现百分之三十的跌幅。 张欣的预测 张欣称，在房地产市场取得成功已取决于猜测政府下一步将采取什么措施。她六月份在北京举行的摩根大通集团会议上称：“所有的人都如此悲观，我说，在接下来的六个月或者一年，房价将继续上涨。我的猜测是政府现在采取紧缩措施，但它在某个阶段将再次采取经济刺激措施。” 如果她是对的，她的最新房产投资将会获利丰厚，中国经济也将呈现繁荣局面，这可能使世界经济脱过再次探底的威胁。 China's Billionaire Builder Zhang Xin is betting hundreds of millions of dollars that the warnings of a housing crash are wrong. The former sweatshop worker has a track record of being right。 From her leafy, 11th-floor rooftop terrace at the headquarters of Soho China Ltd., billionaire Zhang Xin scans the relentlessly expanding Beijing skyline she helped create. Zhang’s avant-garde buildings -- some sleek as chopsticks, others stepped like rice terraces -- became part of the hottest real estate market on Earth in 2010. Zhang says she’s well aware of the chorus of investors and economists who predict that China’s property boom is about to go bust, taking the global economy down with it. The doomsday scenarios don’t intimidate Zhang, a onetime penniless sweatshop worker who ascended to Wall Street by defying the odds. She hopes to prove skeptics wrong again this year by betting hundreds of millions of dollars on new buildings in Beijing and Shanghai, Bloomberg Markets magazine reports in its September issue。 “I don’t see any bubbles,” says Zhang, dressed in a white V-neck zippered top, black slacks and red heels. “The next few months will be a fantastic time to buy。” Zhang, 44, personifies the explosive rise of China, from the poverty of Mao Zedong’s communist rule to the riches of state-controlled capitalism in the world’s third-biggest economy. At age 30, armed with a master’s degree from the University of Cambridge in England and connections from working at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in New York and Hong Kong, Zhang founded Soho China with her husband, Pan Shiyi. The company became central Beijing’s biggest developer about a decade later in 2005 -- and a favorite among investors。 Soho China’s Shares Soho China’s shares jumped about 17 percent on the Hong Kong stock exchange this year through Aug. 3 compared with a 6.1 percent fall in the Bloomberg Asia Pacific Real Estate Index, which includes 191 property stocks. Zhang’s ownership stake is worth about $2.2 billion, ranking her alongside Oprah Winfrey as one of the world’s wealthiest self-made women, says Rupert Hoogewerf, whose Shanghai-based Hurun Report tracks China’s rich。 Zhang, who rode the wave of China’s three-decade expansion, now faces a real estate market that’s due for a crash, says Andy Xie, formerly Morgan Stanley’s Asia-Pacific chief economist, who now works independently in Shanghai. Economists began predicting a real estate bubble in China last year after its government pumped $585 billion of stimulus funds into the economy. State- controlled banks went on a record $1.4 trillion lending spree in 2009. See-Through Buildings |
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