When was the last time a Chinese Helicopter team did a hot extraction 1500 km from China or launched an effective missile strike from a naval platform across two nations? Can Chinese pilots buzz destroyers in the South China Sea at close to Mack1 as Russian naval pilots have done in the Baltic in 2016. Russia has had its learnings in Afghanistan, Chechnya, South Ossetia, Moldova, Ukraine, Syria and with domestic terror, not the greatest theatres of combat but any stage is better than no stage at all. Quality on paper is just that, the ability of your military and plan to survive first contact with the enemy is another. 中国最近一次派直升机队在1500公里以外的地方进行紧急撤离，或者在两国间的海上平台上发射导弹是什么时候的事了？中国飞行员能否像2016年俄罗斯海军飞行员在波罗的海所完成的那样，在南海紧贴驱逐舰飞行？俄罗斯从阿富汗、车臣、南奥塞梯、摩尔多瓦、乌克兰、叙利亚和国内恐 怖主义中吸取了教训，虽然这些都不是大战场，但总归是实战，总能累积经验。 纸上谈兵终究只是纸上谈兵，军队的作战能力和作战计划能否帮助军队在和敌人的第一次交锋中幸存下来又是另一回事。 Peter Francis Related Is China the world's next superpower? China is not Japan in 1940s China is not Soviet Union in 1950s The old definition of superpower doesn’t work. China want to be who they are though the history - The middle kingdom without the need of expansion They are lazy superpower that just doesn’t want to be vulnerable to blockade like German in World War I. they can buy African resource by money, without the need of colonialism. They don’t care about Iraq, Afghanistan or Israel… They would not be typical superpower. If you are not China neighbor, you doesn’t care about them like what you did with the Soviet or American 中国是下一个超级大国吗？ 中国不是20世纪40年代的日本。 中国也不是20世纪50年代的苏联。 超级大国的历史定义已经不一样了。中国只想重获历史尊荣—不需要扩张的中央帝国。 中国是悠然自得的超级大国，不想像第一次世界大战中的德国那样脆弱。他们可以用钱购买非洲的资源，不需要采取殖民政策。他们也不关心伊拉克、阿富汗或以色列…… 他们不会是典型意义上的超级大国。如果你没有和中国接壤，你压根不会像对待苏联或美国那样关心中国的一举一动。 Nathan James Related How powerful will China be as the biggest superpower? I’m not sure China will ever be a superpower in the sense that you assume. China has no wish to police the world. Its military is mainly for national and regional defence. So if you think China is going to have hundreds of military bases around the world, or a dozen supercarrier battle groups, no, that’s not gonna happen. It is not in China’s DNA to become a global imperialist. 作为最大的超级大国，中国会有多强大？ 我不确定中国有没有兴趣像你想象的那样成为超级大国。中国没兴趣当国际警察。中国军队主要都是为了国家和地区防务。 所以，如果你认为中国将在世界各地拥有数百个军事基地，或者十几个超级航母战斗群，不，那是不可能发生的。 中国并没有成为全球帝国主义列强的DNA。 China - World Leader. Frankly one will never get to know. You can only guess. China unlike the US which boast and show off its achievements both to sell and warn others by announcing its new weapons. Not China. It keeps everything secret hence it can spring a thousand surprises in case anyone is full hardy enough to test them. You can be certain that even the US knows that even now, if the US attack China, it will suffer such a big setback that it will lose every perceived self made military superiority, that the U.S. will never try. And China will give an eye for an eye. A missile in China for a missile the US mainland. I can guarantee that. So don’t say I never warned you. 坦白地说，谁都不可能知道，只能猜测一下。 中国不像美国那样总爱吹嘘和炫耀自己的成就，整天显摆自己的新武器，要么为了出售，要么为了警告别人。中国不是这样的，中国只会保守秘密，因此如果有人胆敢挑衅，中国会突然给全世界无数惊喜。 美国肯定也知道，如果美国现在攻打中国必将遭到重挫，美国将失去所有自以为是的军事优势，美国永远不敢再次尝试。中国会以牙还牙的，只要中国挨一枚导弹，必会还给美国本土一枚导弹。我可以保证。 别说我没警告过你这一点。 |
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